Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
We said: Bologna 1-1 Napoli
Napoli have been far less prolific since the start of April, and faced by a buoyant Bologna side that rarely loses at home they may have to settle for a point. The Rossoblu have come on in leaps and bounds since Thiago Motta was appointed, and they are not afraid of taking on Serie A's big boys.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.69% . A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.27% .
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.09%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%) , while for a Bologna win it was 1-0 (7.96%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Bologna Draw Napoli 20.27% ( 0.15) 26.04% ( 0.06) 53.69% ( -0.2)
Both teams to score 43.5% ( 0.04)
41.14% ( -0.05) 58.85% ( 0.05)
20.64% ( -0.04) 79.36% ( 0.04)
55.81% ( 0.13) 44.19% ( -0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19.72% ( 0.11) 80.28% ( -0.1)
77.95% ( -0.11) 22.05% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.61% ( -0.16) 55.39% ( 0.16)
Bologna 20.27%
Napoli 53.68%
Draw 26.04%
Bologna Draw Napoli 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.27% 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.04% 0-1 @ 14.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.13% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 53.68%
How you voted: Bologna vs Napoli
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rhs 2.0
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