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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Salernitana

Napoli
1 - 1
Salernitana

Olivera (62')
Zielinski (55'), Olivera (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dia (84')
Daniliuc (73'), Pirola (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Salernitana 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-1 Salernitana

 With just two wins on the road so far, surely Salernitana cannot spoil Napoli's big day by seizing success in this Campania derby? Having last tasted defeat back in February, they can put up some stiff resistance, but the peerless Partenopei will ultimately prevail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 77%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.58%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawSalernitana
77% (0.30500000000001 0.31) 14.74% (-0.141 -0.14) 8.26% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 46.86% (-0.302 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)36.94% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.87% (0.053000000000004 0.05)59.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.11% (0.072000000000003 0.07)7.89% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.08% (0.197 0.2)27.92% (-0.203 -0.2)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.87% (-0.37 -0.37)49.12% (0.361 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.95% (-0.264 -0.26)84.04% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 76.99%
    Salernitana 8.26%
    Draw 14.74%
NapoliDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.49% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 10.58% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.72% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 4.78% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.43% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.45% (0.03 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 76.99%
1-1 @ 7% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 14.74%
0-1 @ 2.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 0.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 8.26%

How you voted: Napoli vs Salernitana

Napoli
80.3%
Draw
13.6%
Salernitana
6.1%
66
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 5pm
gameweek 19
Salernitana
0-2
Napoli

Bradaric (75'), Pirola (78')
Di Lorenzo (45+3'), Osimhen (48')
Min-jae (44'), Ndombele (90+4')
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 23
Napoli
4-1
Salernitana
Jesus (17'), Mertens (45+4' pen.), Rrahmani (47'), Insigne (53' pen.)
Bonazzoli (33')
Delli Carri (23'), Obi (30'), Veseli (45+3')
Veseli (51')
Oct 31, 2021 5pm
gameweek 11
Salernitana
0-1
Napoli

Kastanos (70')
Zielinski (61')
Zambo Anguissa (41'), Rui (74')
Koulibaly (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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