Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
