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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Bologna logo

Hellas Verona
2 - 1
Bologna

Verdi (45+6' pen., 62')
Faraoni (56'), Duda (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dominguez (90+4')
Posch (25'), Barrow (31'), Dominguez (37'), Skorupski (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 15 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 2-2 Bologna

Bologna have netted two goals in five of their last six away games in Serie A, which ostensibly makes them favourites on Friday. However, Verona are tough to beat at the Bentegodi in 2023, losing one of their seven home games, and their knack for scoring at home suggests this could end in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna
39.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 26.83% (0.0039999999999978 0) 34.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)53.86% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.32% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)26.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)62.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)29.85% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)65.94% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 39.01%
    Bologna 34.15%
    Draw 26.83%
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.01%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 34.15%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Bologna

Hellas Verona
26.3%
Draw
34.2%
Bologna
39.5%
76
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Bologna
1-1
Hellas Verona
Arnautovic (21')
Bonifazi (53'), Dominguez (87'), Arnautovic (90')
Orsolini (78')
Henry (43')
Hongla (23'), Coppola (26'), Gunter (47')
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
Hellas Verona
2-1
Bologna
Caprari (38'), Kalinic (85')
Simeone (43'), Gunter (60')
Orsolini (14')
Skorupski (27'), Binks (45+1'), Sansone (49'), Hickey (73')
Sep 13, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Bologna
1-0
Hellas Verona
Svanberg (78')
Dominguez (90+7')

Barak (49'), Ceccherini (84'), Faraoni (90+8')
May 17, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Hellas Verona
2-2
Bologna
Faraoni (2'), Kalinic (53')
Gunter (41'), Barak (49'), Kalinic (73')
De Silvestri (32'), Palacio (82')
Dijks (52'), Schouten (56'), Soriano (69')
Jan 16, 2021 2pm
gameweek 18
Bologna
1-0
Hellas Verona
Orsolini (19' pen.)
Dijks (54'), Dominguez (70')

Zaccagni (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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