Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Bologna |
39.01% ( 0.03) | 26.83% ( 0) | 34.15% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.14% ( -0.02) | 53.86% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.68% ( -0.02) | 75.32% ( 0.02) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% ( 0.01) | 26.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.72% ( 0.01) | 62.28% ( -0.01) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.15% ( -0.03) | 29.85% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.06% ( -0.04) | 65.94% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.01% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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