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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Bologna logo

Hellas Verona
2 - 1
Bologna

Verdi (45+6' pen., 62')
Faraoni (56'), Duda (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dominguez (90+4')
Posch (25'), Barrow (31'), Dominguez (37'), Skorupski (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 15 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 2-2 Bologna

Bologna have netted two goals in five of their last six away games in Serie A, which ostensibly makes them favourites on Friday. However, Verona are tough to beat at the Bentegodi in 2023, losing one of their seven home games, and their knack for scoring at home suggests this could end in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna
39.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 26.83% (0.0039999999999978 0) 34.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)53.86% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.32% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)26.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)62.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)29.85% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)65.94% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 39.01%
    Bologna 34.15%
    Draw 26.83%
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.01%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 34.15%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Bologna

Hellas Verona
26.3%
Draw
34.2%
Bologna
39.5%
76
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Bologna
1-1
Hellas Verona
Arnautovic (21')
Bonifazi (53'), Dominguez (87'), Arnautovic (90')
Orsolini (78')
Henry (43')
Hongla (23'), Coppola (26'), Gunter (47')
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
Hellas Verona
2-1
Bologna
Caprari (38'), Kalinic (85')
Simeone (43'), Gunter (60')
Orsolini (14')
Skorupski (27'), Binks (45+1'), Sansone (49'), Hickey (73')
Sep 13, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Bologna
1-0
Hellas Verona
Svanberg (78')
Dominguez (90+7')

Barak (49'), Ceccherini (84'), Faraoni (90+8')
May 17, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Hellas Verona
2-2
Bologna
Faraoni (2'), Kalinic (53')
Gunter (41'), Barak (49'), Kalinic (73')
De Silvestri (32'), Palacio (82')
Dijks (52'), Schouten (56'), Soriano (69')
Jan 16, 2021 2pm
gameweek 18
Bologna
1-0
Hellas Verona
Orsolini (19' pen.)
Dijks (54'), Dominguez (70')

Zaccagni (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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