Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Apr 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
0 - 2
Bologna

Zappacosta (11'), Luis Palomino (68'), Djimsiti (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sansone (49'), Orsolini (86')
Lucumi (61'), Orsolini (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Cremonese 1-3 Atalanta
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, April 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Bologna

Atalanta finally have a handful of strikers fit and nearing top form, so should score at least once against a team which has conceded at a rate of two goals per game when on the road; Bologna have been brilliant in Emilia-Romagna recently, but less impressive away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Bologna
68.56% ( 0.03)	18.7% ( -0.01)	12.74% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.77% (

0.04)

42.23% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.36% (

0.04)

64.64% (

-0.03)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.74% (

0.02)

11.26% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.15% (

0.04)

35.85% (

-0.04)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.95% (

44.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.83% (

80.17% (

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 68.55%

Bologna 12.74%

Draw 18.7%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 68.55%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.89% Total : 18.7%	0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.28% Total : 12.74%