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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Bologna logo

Atalanta
0 - 2
Bologna


Zappacosta (11'), Luis Palomino (68'), Djimsiti (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sansone (49'), Orsolini (86')
Lucumi (61'), Orsolini (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 1-3 Atalanta
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, April 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Bologna

Atalanta finally have a handful of strikers fit and nearing top form, so should score at least once against a team which has conceded at a rate of two goals per game when on the road; Bologna have been brilliant in Emilia-Romagna recently, but less impressive away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
68.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 18.7% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 12.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.65% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)42.23% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)64.64% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (0.022000000000006 0.02)11.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.15% (0.040999999999997 0.04)35.85% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83% (0.0039999999999978 0)80.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 68.55%
    Bologna 12.74%
    Draw 18.7%
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 68.55%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 18.7%
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 12.74%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Bologna

Atalanta BC
76.0%
Draw
20.0%
Bologna
4.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2023 7.45pm
Bologna
1-2
Atalanta
Orsolini (6')
Medel (66'), Lykogiannis (84'), Dominguez (90+4')
Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')
de Roon (26'), Pasalic (38')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Bologna

Gosens (36'), Luis Palomino (79')

Medel (35'), Sansone (49'), Arnautovic (53'), Hickey (58'), Svanberg (64')
Apr 25, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
5-0
Bologna
Malinovskyi (22'), Muriel (44' pen.), Freuler (57'), Zapata (59'), Miranchuk (73')

Larangeira (44')
Schouten (49')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Bologna
2-2
Atalanta
Tomiyasu (73'), Paz (82')
Mihajlovic (77'), Palacio (84'), da Costa (86')
Muriel (22' pen., 23')
Gosens (18'), Djimsiti (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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