Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
64.59% ( -0.84) | 18.15% ( 0.16) | 17.26% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 63.88% ( 0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.5% ( 0.54) | 29.5% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.41% ( 0.65) | 50.59% ( -0.65) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.29% ( -0.04) | 8.71% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.04% ( -0.09) | 29.96% ( 0.09) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.97% ( 1.07) | 30.03% ( -1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.85% ( 1.27) | 66.15% ( -1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 64.59% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.15% | 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.49% Total : 17.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
15 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |