Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Cagliari |
56.5% (![]() | 23.62% (![]() | 19.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% (![]() | 50.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% (![]() | 72.37% (![]() |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.34% (![]() | 17.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.72% (![]() | 48.28% (![]() |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.25% (![]() | 39.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.58% (![]() | 76.42% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 12.17% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.55% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.33% Total : 19.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |