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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cagliari logo

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Cagliari

Gonzalez (3'), Dossena (21' og.), N'Zola (90+4')
Infantino (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pavoletti (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 AC Milan
Wednesday, September 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-0 Cagliari

Fiorentina have an impressive record against Cagliari, and a routine victory is likely against the struggling new boys. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCagliari
56.5% (0.766 0.77) 23.62% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 19.87% (-0.796 -0.8)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-1.294 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (-1.112 -1.11)50.44% (1.114 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.992 -0.99)72.37% (0.99499999999999 0.99)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.128 -0.13)17.66% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72% (-0.22 -0.22)48.28% (0.222 0.22)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.25% (-1.475 -1.48)39.75% (1.476 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58% (-1.39 -1.39)76.42% (1.393 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 56.5%
    Cagliari 19.87%
    Draw 23.61%
FiorentinaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 10.55% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 56.5%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 19.87%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cagliari

Fiorentina
89.0%
Draw
6.6%
Cagliari
4.4%
91
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Cagliari
1-1
Fiorentina
Pedro (47')
Altare (10'), Mazzarri (60'), Pedro (81'), Ceppitelli (86')
Sottil (75')
Biraghi (29'), Sottil (75'), Maleh (89')
Odriozola (65')
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
Biraghi (21' pen.), Gonzalez (42'), Vlahovic (49')

Balde (20'), Marin (48')
May 12, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Cagliari
0-0
Fiorentina
Pulgar (27'), Caceres (67')
Jan 10, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
1-0
Cagliari
Vlahovic (72')
Biraghi (77')

Oliva (53'), Tramoni (86'), Pavoletti (90+1')
Jul 8, 2020 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
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Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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