Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
33.9% ( -0.06) | 27% ( 0.02) | 39.1% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.42% ( -0.08) | 54.58% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.07% ( -0.07) | 75.93% ( 0.07) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( -0.08) | 30.38% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( -0.1) | 66.57% ( 0.11) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% ( -0.01) | 27.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.34% ( -0.01) | 62.66% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.9% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
15 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |