MX23RW : Friday, November 8 12:01:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Serie B | 2nd Leg
Jun 11, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Cagliari logo

Bari
0 - 1
Cagliari


Dorval (59'), Maita (67'), Benedetti (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavoletti (90+4')
Luvumbo (67'), Deiola (90'), Mancosu (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie B promotion playoff between Bari and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Bari
Thursday, June 8 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Bari
Thursday, June 8 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Bari 2-1 Cagliari (Bari win 3-2 on aggregate)

As victory is the only option for Cagliari, the onus is on Claudio Ranieri's side to score at least once in Sunday's second leg. Though Bari failed to fully punish them in midweek, the Isolani were often caught out at the back, and if the home side can take the lead in front of almost 60,000 fans, that could be enough to make a miraculous return to Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 35.88%. A win for Bari had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
BariDrawCagliari
34.7% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 29.41% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 35.88% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.72% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.79% (-0.269 -0.27)63.21% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.38% (-0.194 -0.19)82.62% (0.19 0.19)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)34.27% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.183 -0.18)70.97% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (-0.167 -0.17)33.48% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-0.181 -0.18)70.12% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Bari 34.7%
    Cagliari 35.88%
    Draw 29.4%
BariDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 12.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 34.7%
1-1 @ 13.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.47% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.4%
0-1 @ 12.55% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.88%

How you voted: Bari vs Cagliari

Bari
65.6%
Draw
15.6%
Cagliari
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2023 7.30pm
Feb 18, 2023 3.15pm
gameweek 25
Bari
1-1
Cagliari
Antenucci (90+5' pen.)
Sep 17, 2022 1pm
gameweek 6
Cagliari
0-1
Bari
Cheddira (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
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Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pisa1283122111127
2SassuoloSassuolo1274124121225
3SpeziaSpezia12660168824
4Cesena125342018218
5Cremonese125341816218
6Juve StabiaJuve Stabia124531313017
7Brescia125251617-117
8Palermo124441210216
9Sampdoria124351615115
10BariBari122821311214
11CatanzaroCatanzaro12282119214
12Reggiana123451113-213
13Carrarese123451113-213
14Salernitana123451316-313
15Mantova123451115-413
16SudtirolSudtirol124171419-513
17Cittadella12336617-1112
18Cosenza CalcioCosenza123631011-111
19Modena122551619-311
20FrosinoneFrosinone12165717-109


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