Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Bari had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Bari
35.8% ( 0.66)	28.62% ( 0.12)	35.57% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 45.95% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.49% (

-0.44)

60.51% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.37% (

-0.33)

80.62% (

0.33)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

0.2)

32.13% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

0.23)

68.61% (

-0.24)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-0.73)

32.28% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

-0.83)

68.78% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Modena 35.8%

Bari 35.56%

Draw 28.61%

Modena	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.8%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.56%