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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Roma
0 - 2
Inter Milan


Mancini (27'), Pellegrini (58'), Spinazzola (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dimarco (33'), Lukaku (74')
Martinez (65'), Gagliardini (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Roma
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-6 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 0-1 Inter Milan

 With seven wins and six losses to their name on the road this season - while conceding plenty of goals in the process - Inter have not travelled well throughout this Serie A season. However, they are apparently running into form at just the right moment. As Roma rarely concede much at the Olimpico, a single goal could therefore separate the sides on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Roma win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawInter Milan
25.68% (0.026 0.03) 26.48% (-0.226 -0.23) 47.84% (0.202 0.2)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.663 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1% (0.849 0.85)55.9% (-0.849 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.99% (0.687 0.69)77.01% (-0.687 -0.69)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (0.491 0.49)37.22% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26% (0.484 0.48)74% (-0.483 -0.48)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.461 0.46)23.39% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.668 0.67)57.38% (-0.666 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Roma 25.68%
    Inter Milan 47.83%
    Draw 26.48%
RomaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.18% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.04% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 25.68%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.71% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 12.64% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-2 @ 9.19% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.45% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.074 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.83%

How you voted: Roma vs Inter Milan

Roma
26.8%
Draw
20.3%
Inter Milan
52.9%
138
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 5pm
gameweek 8
Inter Milan
1-2
Roma
Dimarco (30')
Dybala (39'), Smalling (75')
Zaniolo (54')
Apr 23, 2022 5pm
gameweek 34
Inter Milan
3-1
Roma
Dumfries (30'), Brozovic (40'), Martinez (52')
Brozovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (87')
Mkhitaryan (85')
Mancini (36'), Oliveira (79')
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
2-0
Roma
Dzeko (2'), Sanchez (68')

Zaniolo (37'), Mancini (38'), Mourinho (45+2')
Dec 4, 2021 5pm
gameweek 16
Roma
0-3
Inter Milan

Ibanez (37'), Mancini (63'), Zaniolo (75')
Calhanoglu (15'), Dzeko (24'), Dumfries (39')
Barella (47')
> Preview
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Inter Milan
3-1
Roma
Brozovic (11'), Vecino (20'), Lukaku (90')
Mkhitaryan (31')
Darboe (6'), Santon (28'), Kumbulla (71'), Karsdorp (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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