Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 4, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
0 - 2
Napoli

Mazzocchi (68'), Inzaghi (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Raspadori (13'), Elmas (82')
Di Lorenzo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 4-0 Sampdoria
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-2 AC Milan
Sunday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salernitana 1-3 Napoli

While Napoli's proclivity to concede means Salernitana could add to their meagre six goals on Saturday, the Partenopei should be too strong for the struggling side at the Arechi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.05%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Napoli
13.36% ( -0.07)	19.24% ( -0.1)	67.4% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 49.61% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.78% (

0.3)

43.22% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.38% (

0.3)

65.62% (

-0.3)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.28% (

0.09)

43.71% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.11% (

0.07)

79.89% (

-0.07)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.15% (

0.13)

11.85% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.87% (

0.29)

37.13% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 13.36%

Napoli 67.4%

Draw 19.24%

Salernitana	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.36%	1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.24%	0-2 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.93% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.47% Total : 67.4%