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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Napoli logo

Salernitana
0 - 2
Napoli


Mazzocchi (68'), Inzaghi (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raspadori (13'), Elmas (82')
Di Lorenzo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-2 AC Milan
Sunday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 1-3 Napoli

While Napoli's proclivity to concede means Salernitana could add to their meagre six goals on Saturday, the Partenopei should be too strong for the struggling side at the Arechi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.05%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
SalernitanaDrawNapoli
13.36% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 19.24% (-0.102 -0.1) 67.4% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Both teams to score 49.61% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.78% (0.301 0.3)43.22% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.38% (0.296 0.3)65.62% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.28% (0.087000000000003 0.09)43.71% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.11% (0.070999999999998 0.07)79.89% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15% (0.134 0.13)11.85% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.87% (0.28599999999999 0.29)37.13% (-0.285 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 13.36%
    Napoli 67.4%
    Draw 19.24%
SalernitanaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 4.29% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 13.36%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 19.24%
0-2 @ 11.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 11.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 8.38% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.93% (0.035 0.04)
0-4 @ 4.47% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.7% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.022 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.91% (0.025 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 67.4%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Napoli

Salernitana
4.3%
Draw
5.7%
Napoli
90.0%
70
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
1-1
Salernitana
Olivera (62')
Dia (84')
Jan 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 19
Salernitana
0-2
Napoli
Di Lorenzo (45+3'), Osimhen (48')
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Napoli
4-1
Salernitana
Jesus (17'), Mertens (45+4' pen.), Rrahmani (47'), Insigne (53' pen.)
Bonazzoli (33')
Delli Carri (23'), Obi (30'), Veseli (45+3')
Veseli (51')
Oct 31, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 11
Salernitana
0-1
Napoli

Kastanos (70')
Zielinski (61')
Zambo Anguissa (41'), Rui (74')
Koulibaly (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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