Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 11.30am UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza3 - 0Salernitana
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Monza
Monday, October 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Monday, October 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Monza 1-1 Salernitana
Neither side is prolific, so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards for Serie A's Sunday lunchtime kickoff. Salernitana may have to wait a while longer for their first league victory of the season, as Monza are generally tough to beat on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
57.08% ( -2.01) | 23.38% ( 0.81) | 19.53% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.82% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
