MX23RW : Monday, June 24 13:01:34| >> :600:2032680:2032680:
Villarreal logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Panathinaikos

Villarreal
3 - 2
Panathinaikos

Baena (29'), Comesana (34'), Luis Morales (47')
Akhomach (71'), Marcelino (72'), Comesana (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Palacios (66'), Ioannidis (81')
Perez (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Villarreal and Panathinaikos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aris 2-0 Panathinaikos
Sunday, November 26 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Panathinaikos

Villarreal have won each of their last eight Europa League home games, and we think that they will continue that impressive record by claiming a narrow win over a Panathinaikos side that have taken just a point from their two away group games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawPanathinaikos
38.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 24.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 37.12% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)43.47% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.13%65.87%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)22.58% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (0.015999999999998 0.02)56.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)57.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 38.34%
    Panathinaikos 37.12%
    Draw 24.54%
VillarrealDrawPanathinaikos
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.34%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 37.12%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Panathinaikos

Villarreal
76.7%
Draw
11.7%
Panathinaikos
11.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Panathinaikos
2-0
Villarreal
Ioannidis (38'), Sporar (78')
Cantalapiedra (89')

Femenia (64'), Sorloth (74'), Baena (84'), Pedraza (87')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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