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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio El Montecillo
Real Madrid logo

Arandina
1 - 3
Real Madrid

Nacho (90+3' og.)
Pesca (53'), Cabral (76'), Rodriguez (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Joselu (54' pen.), Diaz (55'), Rodrygo (90+1')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Copa del Rey clash between Arandina and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa del Rey clash between Arandina and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's Copa del Rey clash with Arandina.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Copa del Rey clash with Arandina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arandina

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Arandina 2-1 Cadiz
Thursday, December 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Mallorca
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga

We said: Arandina 0-4 Real Madrid

 Arandina's progression to this stage of the competition must be celebrated, but we are finding it very, very difficult to back them to go any further. Ancelotti will make changes to his strongest available Real Madrid side, but the visitors should still have far too much for their opponents in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.26%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Arandina had a probability of 7.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.91%) and 0-3 (11.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for an Arandina win it was 1-0 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
ArandinaDrawReal Madrid
7.5% (0.0019999999999998 0) 15.23% (0.0020000000000007 0) 77.26% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 41.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)42.28% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)64.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Arandina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)87.68% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)9.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.11% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)30.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Arandina 7.5%
    Real Madrid 77.24%
    Draw 15.23%
ArandinaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 2.17%
2-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 7.5%
1-1 @ 7.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.97%
2-2 @ 2.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 15.23%
0-2 @ 14.28%
0-1 @ 11.91%
0-3 @ 11.41%
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 6.9%
0-4 @ 6.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 4.14%
0-5 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-5 @ 1.98%
0-6 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 77.24%

How you voted: Arandina vs Real Madrid

Arandina
11.5%
Draw
5.8%
Real Madrid
82.7%
52
rhs 2.0
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