Parma will not feel too downtrodden about losing away to the champions last week, and after beating Lazio in their previous home match, they will feel confident of compounding the misery on Zanetti here.
Even a draw could help him get his side out of a current rut, but by losing last weekend, Verona became just the fifth Serie A side in a half-century to not draw any of their first 15 games of a season, and six straight defeats on the road offers nothing to encourage.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
-0.12) 
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