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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Parma logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Parma

Dimarco (40'), Barella (53'), Thuram (66')
Dimarco (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Darmian (81' og.)
Keita (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Parma 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Parma

Victory should be a formality for Inter, as they are imperious at San Siro and Parma do not tend to travel well. The visitors have kept just one clean sheet all season, while their illustrious hosts are averaging almost two-and-a-half goals per game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Parma had a probability of 11.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawParma
70.19% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 17.85% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 11.96% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.18% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.73% (0.221 0.22)40.27% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (0.226 0.23)62.65% (-0.227 -0.23)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7% (0.078000000000003 0.08)10.3% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.29% (0.17699999999999 0.18)33.71% (-0.177 -0.18)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.94% (0.118 0.12)44.06% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83% (0.094999999999999 0.09)80.17% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 70.18%
    Parma 11.96%
    Draw 17.85%
Inter MilanDrawParma
2-0 @ 11.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.28% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.05% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.3% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 70.18%
1-1 @ 8.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.85%
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 11.96%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Parma

Inter Milan
87.2%
Draw
10.4%
Parma
2.4%
125
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Inter Milan
2-1
Parma
Martinez (88'), Acerbi (110')
Juric (38')
Mar 4, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Parma
1-2
Inter Milan
Hernani (71')
Sanchez (54', 62')
Darmian (90+2')
Oct 31, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 6
Inter Milan
2-2
Parma
Brozovic (64'), Perisic (90+2')
Ranocchia (67')
Gervinho (46', 62')
Hernani (23')
Jun 28, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 26, 2019 5pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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