Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Parma had a probability of 11.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Parma |
70.19% ( 0.07) | 17.85% ( -0.06) | 11.96% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.18% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.73% ( 0.22) | 40.27% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.35% ( 0.23) | 62.65% ( -0.23) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.7% ( 0.08) | 10.3% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.29% ( 0.18) | 33.71% ( -0.18) |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.94% ( 0.12) | 44.06% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.83% ( 0.09) | 80.17% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Parma |
2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.34% Total : 70.18% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 17.85% | 0-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.23% Total : 11.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |