Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Hellas Verona3 - 2Roma
We said: Hellas Verona 0-1 Roma
Verona have conceded an average of two goals per game on home turf, and their confidence must be low after losing to Lecce in such dismal fashion. As a result, Roma can record their first win on the road, easing the pressure on Ivan Juric, who could beat two former clubs back-to-back. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
30.92% ( 0.72) | 26.78% ( -0.09) | 42.31% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
