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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma logo

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Roma

Kean (9', 41'), Beltran (17' pen.), Bove (52'), Hummels (71' og.)
Ranieri (61'), Kean (74'), Kean (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kone (39')
Mancini (42'), Pisilli (50'), Kone (57'), Hermoso (60')
Hermoso (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: St Gallen 2-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Roma

 Given Fiorentina's recent revival, they should start favourites, but Roma have developed a habit of scoring late on and could come away with one point. The Giallorossi have netted 63% of their goals after the hour mark this season, so they can end the hosts' record as the only team yet to concede during the last 30 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
43.42% (-0.379 -0.38) 25.9% (0.308 0.31) 30.68% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 53.08% (-0.957 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (-1.258 -1.26)50.99% (1.257 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14% (-1.115 -1.12)72.86% (1.115 1.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)23.36% (0.726 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-1.065 -1.07)57.33% (1.065 1.07)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (-0.587 -0.59)30.73% (0.588 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (-0.698 -0.7)66.99% (0.699 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 43.41%
    Roma 30.68%
    Draw 25.89%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.41%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.356 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.288 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 30.68%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
61.7%
Draw
21.1%
Roma
17.3%
133
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Fiorentina
2-2
Roma
Ranieri (18'), Mandragora (69')
Bonaventura (57'), Milenkovic (64')
Aouar (58'), Llorente (90+5')
Mancini (6'), Paredes (37'), Huijsen (45'), N'Dicka (68'), Baldanzi (75')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Roma
1-1
Fiorentina
Lukaku (5')
Cristante (37'), Zalewski (41'), Paredes (80'), Llorente (90+6')
Zalewski (64'), Lukaku (87')
Martinez (66')
Ikone (64'), Biraghi (75'), Duncan (86')
Milenkovic (90+7')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
2-1
Roma
Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
> Preview
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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