Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
45.46% ( 0.25) | 26.07% ( 0.05) | 28.46% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.29% ( -0.35) | 52.7% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.65% ( -0.31) | 74.34% ( 0.3) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.87% ( -0.04) | 23.12% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.01% ( -0.05) | 56.98% ( 0.05) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% ( -0.41) | 33.23% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.15% ( -0.46) | 69.84% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 28.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |