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Monza
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Venezia
Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Roma logo

Monza
1 - 4
Roma

Carboni (87')
Bondo (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pellegrini (38'), Lukaku (42'), Dybala (63'), Paredes (82' pen.)
Kristensen (25'), Angelino (48'), Svilar (58'), Cristante (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Monza
Saturday, February 24 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-2 Torino
Monday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 2-2 Roma

Both teams are now scoring regularly and will expect to take points off the other, with Monza far from pushovers on home soil. Roma's winning run may therefore be curtailed, as they settle for just one point from an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawRoma
29.86% (-0.163 -0.16) 26.91% (-0.096 -0.1) 43.23% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 49.6% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69% (0.298 0.3)55.31% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (0.243 0.24)76.53% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04)33.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)70.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (0.26700000000001 0.27)25.37% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (0.364 0.36)60.16% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Monza 29.86%
    Roma 43.22%
    Draw 26.91%
MonzaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 4% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.22%

How you voted: Monza vs Roma

Monza
22.1%
Draw
24.4%
Roma
53.5%
86
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Roma
1-0
Monza
El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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