Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
33.8% ( 0.09) | 27.26% ( 0.06) | 38.94% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 49.85% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.39% ( -0.2) | 55.61% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.23% ( -0.17) | 76.77% ( 0.17) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( -0.05) | 30.95% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( -0.05) | 67.25% ( 0.05) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% ( -0.18) | 27.81% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.6% ( -0.23) | 63.4% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.79% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |