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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce logo

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Lecce

Aurel Bisseck (43'), Barella (78')
Inzaghi (16'), Calhanoglu (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (15'), Piccoli (64'), Pongracic (74')
Banda (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Lecce

Despite Lecce's scoring run on their travels and Martinez's potential absence for Inter, the Nerazzurri should secure a comfortable triumph on home turf in this year's final game at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 9.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.93%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLecce
71.62% (0.199 0.2) 18.91% (-0.111 -0.11) 9.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 38.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (0.189 0.19)51.59% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (0.167 0.17)73.38% (-0.166 -0.17)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.87% (0.116 0.12)13.13% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.22% (0.235 0.23)39.78% (-0.237 -0.24)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.97% (-0.07 -0.07)56.03% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.51% (-0.041 -0.04)88.49% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 71.61%
    Lecce 9.47%
    Draw 18.91%
Inter MilanDrawLecce
2-0 @ 15.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 14.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 10.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.95% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.21% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 71.61%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.91%
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 9.47%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Lecce

Inter Milan
91.8%
Draw
4.1%
Lecce
4.1%
49
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 5pm
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
1-2
Inter Milan
Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 20
Lecce
1-1
Inter Milan
Mancosu (77')
Donati (21'), Meccariello (93')
Bastoni (72')
Candreva (32'), Valero (88')
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Lecce
Brozovic (21'), Sensi (24'), Lukaku (60'), Candreva (84')
Martinez (40')

Petriccione (38'), Lapadula (52')
Farias (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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