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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Lazio
0 - 2
Inter Milan


Casale (81')
Lazzari (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (40'), Thuram (66')
Thuram (26'), Barella (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Lazio
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-0 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lazio 1-2 Inter Milan

Inter have taken 19 points from a possible 21 in Serie A away games this season, making them a fearsome proposition on the road as well as in Milan. With Lazio's defence disrupted by injury and failing to live up to last term's high standards, expect the Scudetto favourites to capitalise thanks to their ruthless attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawInter Milan
32.25% (0.402 0.4) 28.88% (-0.372 -0.37) 38.88% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.85% (1.096 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.32% (1.299 1.3)61.68% (-1.301 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.5% (0.951 0.95)81.5% (-0.952 -0.95)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (0.994 0.99)35.18% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (1.025 1.03)71.93% (-1.027 -1.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (0.63900000000001 0.64)30.81% (-0.641 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (0.743 0.74)67.09% (-0.74499999999999 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 32.24%
    Inter Milan 38.88%
    Draw 28.87%
LazioDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.161 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 32.24%
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.84% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.87%
0-1 @ 12.76% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.095 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.091 0.09)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 38.88%

How you voted: Lazio vs Inter Milan

Lazio
15.7%
Draw
10.8%
Inter Milan
73.5%
83
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Inter Milan
3-1
Lazio
Martinez (77', 90'), Gosens (83')
Anderson (30')
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lazio
3-1
Inter Milan
Anderson (40'), Alberto (75'), Pedro (86')
Zaccagni (56'), Marusic (64')
Martinez (51')
Brozovic (84')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
2-1
Lazio
Bastoni (30'), Skriniar (67')
Vidal (90')
Immobile (35')
Felipe (40'), Basic (54'), Radu (71'), Zaccagni (72')
Oct 16, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 8
Lazio
3-1
Inter Milan
Immobile (64' pen.), Anderson (81'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+1')
Basic (27'), Milinkovic-Savic (83'), Anderson (83')
Felipe (90+7')
Perisic (12' pen.)
Gagliardini (36'), Bastoni (63'), Martinez (83'), Dumfries (83'), Correa (87'), Darmian (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Inter Milan
3-1
Lazio
Lukaku (22' pen., 45'), Martinez (64')
Lukaku (26'), Hakimi (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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