Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 28, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 0
Celtic

Immobile (82', 85')
Rovella (50'), Pedro (89'), Patric (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (27'), Johnston (35'), O'Riley (71'), Yang (78')

Celtic break unwanted Champions League record for British clubs after Lazio loss

Celtic break an unwanted Champions League record for British clubs after suffering a 2-0 defeat away against Lazio on Tuesday night to crash out of the group stage.

Nov 28, 20:55

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lazio and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celtic

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Lazio are struggling to produce consistent performances in Serie A, they have fared reasonably well in the Champions League group stage, having lost just one of their four matches, and we think that they will claim a narrow victory on Tuesday to prolong Celtic's poor run of form in European football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Celtic
31.34% ( 0.23)	23.78% ( -0.02)	44.87% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 60.63% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.72% (

0.22)

41.28% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.32% (

0.22)

63.67% (

-0.23)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53% (

0.25)

25.46% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.7% (

0.34)

60.29% (

-0.35)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33%

18.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.01% (

49.98% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Lazio 31.34%

Celtic 44.87%

Draw 23.78%

Lazio	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.34%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.87%