Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio2 - 0Celtic
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Lazio 2-1 Celtic
While Lazio are struggling to produce consistent performances in Serie A, they have fared reasonably well in the Champions League group stage, having lost just one of their four matches, and we think that they will claim a narrow victory on Tuesday to prolong Celtic's poor run of form in European football. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Celtic |
31.34% ( 0.23) | 23.78% ( -0.02) | 44.87% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.63% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% ( 0.22) | 41.28% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.32% ( 0.22) | 63.67% ( -0.23) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( 0.25) | 25.46% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.7% ( 0.34) | 60.29% ( -0.35) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% | 18.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.01% ( 0) | 49.98% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 31.34%
Celtic 44.87%
Draw 23.78%
| Lazio | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.34% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.87% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Celtic
Lazio
82.8%Draw
9.8%Celtic
7.4%215
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Celtic
1-2
Lazio
Oct 24, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Celtic
2-1
Lazio
