Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Immobile (90+5' pen.)
Lazzari (31'), Rovella (45+2'), Sarri (60'), Zaccagni (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duncan (40'), Ikone (45+2'), Bonaventura (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Lazio
Wednesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 6-0 Cukaricki
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Home advantage could make all the difference in this contest between two well-matched sides, as Lazio generally thrive on Roman soil while Fiorentina tend to wither. The Viola should score at least once at the Olimpico, given their hosts' defensive woes, but that may not prove enough for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
40.59% ( 0.34)	25.76% ( 0.2)	33.65% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 54.64% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.53% (

-0.99)

49.47% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.49% (

-0.9)

71.51% (

0.9)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

-0.27)

24.1% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.6% (

-0.39)

58.39% (

0.39)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99% (

-0.81)

28.01% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.34% (

-1.04)

63.66% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Lazio 40.59%

Fiorentina 33.65%

Draw 25.75%

Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.59%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.65%