Lazio1 - 0Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
We said: Lazio 2-1 Fiorentina
Home advantage could make all the difference in this contest between two well-matched sides, as Lazio generally thrive on Roman soil while Fiorentina tend to wither. The Viola should score at least once at the Olimpico, given their hosts' defensive woes, but that may not prove enough for a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
40.59% ( 0.34) | 25.76% ( 0.2) | 33.65% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( -0.99) | 49.47% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( -0.9) | 71.51% ( 0.9) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( -0.27) | 24.1% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.6% ( -0.39) | 58.39% ( 0.39) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( -0.81) | 28.01% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.34% ( -1.04) | 63.66% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.65% |
