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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma logo

Lazio
0 - 0
Roma


Sarri (33'), Immobile (38'), Alberto (67'), Patric (74')
FT

Mancini (18'), N'Dicka (31'), Lukaku (37'), Azmoun (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Feyenoord
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-0 Roma
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Lazio 0-1 Roma

Even if this edition of the derby is level late on, all is not over until the final whistle sounds: Roma have scored the most goals (nine) during the final 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season; Lazio have found the net just twice during the same time period. They may not employ Maurizio Sarri's intricate passing patterns, but Jose Mourinho's men never know when they are beaten - and one goal could be enough to seal an overdue success against their capital-city rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 43.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawRoma
43.52% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 28.29% (0.067 0.07) 28.18% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.84% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.08% (-0.242 -0.24)60.92% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06% (-0.182 -0.18)80.93% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.123 -0.12)27.81% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.156 -0.16)63.4% (0.157 0.16)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (-0.178 -0.18)37.88% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (-0.171 -0.17)74.65% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 43.52%
    Roma 28.17%
    Draw 28.28%
LazioDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.48% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 43.52%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 10.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 28.17%

How you voted: Lazio vs Roma

Lazio
35.1%
Draw
31.2%
Roma
33.8%
77
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
Lazio
1-0
Roma
Zaccagni (65')
Nov 6, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Roma
0-1
Lazio
Anderson (29')
Mar 20, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 30
Roma
3-0
Lazio
Abraham (1', 22'), Pellegrini (40')
Karsdorp (48'), Mancini (53'), Zalewski (73'), Oliveira (78')

Pedro (43'), Patric (44'), Leiva (61')
Sep 26, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 6
Lazio
3-2
Roma
Milinkovic-Savic (10'), Pedro (19'), Anderson (63')
Leiva (25'), Cataldi (87')
Ibanez (41'), Veretout (69' pen.)
Patricio (11'), Cristante (45+2'), Vina (48'), Mourinho (61'), Veretout (87')
May 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Roma
2-0
Lazio
Mkhitaryan (42'), Pedro (78')
Peres (16'), Santon (47')

Acerbi (23')
Acerbi (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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