We said: Roma 2-1 Slavia Prague
Set for their toughest test in Europe so far this season, resurgent Roma will have to work hard for a fifth straight win.
Roared on by the Olimpico faithful, and now boasting more squad depth, the Italian club should have just too much nous in the final third for Slavia to handle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Slavia Prague win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.