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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Frosinone logo

Roma
2 - 0
Frosinone

Lukaku (21'), Pellegrini (83')
Karsdorp (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barrenechea (46'), Soule (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 4-1 Roma
Thursday, September 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Frosinone

All competitions
Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Frosinone

 Disjointed displays and dismal results have led to piles of pressure on Roma to collect three points on Sunday. Their modest visitors from nearby Frosinone will not roll over, though, and with some astute coaching and a sprinkling of on-loan talent they can frustrate their illustrious hosts at the Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawFrosinone
49.86% (0.474 0.47) 25.84% (-0.128 -0.13) 24.3% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 48.65% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46% (0.219 0.22)54.54% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (0.181 0.18)75.89% (-0.179 -0.18)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (0.29799999999999 0.3)21.91% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (0.45 0.45)55.17% (-0.447 -0.45)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (-0.185 -0.18)37.69% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.184 -0.18)74.47% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Roma 49.85%
    Frosinone 24.3%
    Draw 25.84%
RomaDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 12.53%
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.089 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.3%

How you voted: Roma vs Frosinone

Roma
65.6%
Draw
23.4%
Frosinone
10.9%
64
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Frosinone
2-3
Roma
Ciano (5'), Pinamonti (80')
Goldaniga (68'), Cassata (78')
Dzeko (30', 90'), Pellegrini (31')
El Shaarawy (39'), Dzeko (42')
Sep 26, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 6
Roma
4-0
Frosinone
Under (2'), Pastore (28'), El Shaarawy (35'), Kolarov (87')

Campbell (90')
Jan 30, 2016 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Frosinone
Nainggolan (18'), El Shaarawy (48'), Pjanic (84')
Manolas (41')
Ciofani (24')
Ajeti (15'), Dionisi (64')
> Match Report
Sep 12, 2015 5pm
Frosinone
0-2
Roma

Diakite (40'), Pavlovic (65'), Rosi (76'), Leali (94')
Falque (44'), Iturbe (93')
Falque (27'), Totti (38'), De Rossi (64')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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