Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
7 - 0
Empoli

Dybala (2' pen., 55'), Sanches (8'), Grassi (35' og.), Cristante (79'), Lukaku (82'), Mancini (86')
Dybala (38'), Sanches (39')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Cancellieri (39'), Maleh (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-2 AC Milan
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Empoli will finally break their goal drought, but points may continue to elude them; if Roma can pair Lukaku and Dybala together for a sustained spell, the capital club's ailing fortunes can dramatically change. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Empoli
58.29% ( -1.65)	23.67% ( 0.54)	18.04% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 46.47% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.96% (

-0.43)

53.03% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37% (

-0.37)

74.62% (

0.37)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

-0.75)

17.96% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.2% (

-1.3)

48.8% (

1.3)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.65% (

1.11)

43.35% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.41% (

0.92)

79.58% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Roma 58.28%

Empoli 18.04%

Draw 23.66%

Roma	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 13.36% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.37% Total : 58.28%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.66%	0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.72% Total : 18.04%