Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
32.14% ( 0.02) | 28.96% ( 0) | 38.9% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.03% ( -0) | 61.97% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.29% ( -0) | 81.71% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.59% ( 0.01) | 35.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.83% ( 0.01) | 72.17% ( -0.02) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.06% ( -0.02) | 30.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.76% ( -0.02) | 67.24% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.09% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 12.85% 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.09% Total : 38.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |