Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, May 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Torino
Sunday, May 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, May 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Hellas Verona
Neither side is full of confidence in the final third, and Atalanta's home record leaves a lot to be desired, so it could be just a single goal which separates the sides in Bergamo. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Hellas Verona |
61.7% ( 0.68) | 22.02% ( 0.06) | 16.28% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( -1.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
