MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:59:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Atalanta
3 - 2
Spezia

de Roon (32'), Zappacosta (48'), Muriel (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gyasi (18'), Bourabia (64')
Ampadu (38'), Bastoni (40'), Agudelo (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Torino 1-2 Atalanta
Saturday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Monza
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Spezia

 Atalanta are beginning to find some form at just the right time, while Spezia are becoming more desperate to end their winless streak. Taking both things into consideration, we can only see the home side running out comfortable victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSpezia
67.69% (0.372 0.37) 18.79% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 13.52% (-0.445 -0.45)
Both teams to score 51.68% (-1.549 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27% (-1.402 -1.4)40.73% (1.403 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.88% (-1.45 -1.45)63.12% (1.452 1.45)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.93% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)11.06% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.58% (-0.66 -0.66)35.42% (0.661 0.66)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.11% (-1.542 -1.54)41.89% (1.544 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.66% (-1.372 -1.37)78.34% (1.373 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.69%
    Spezia 13.52%
    Draw 18.79%
Atalanta BCDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 11.23% (0.45 0.45)
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.521 0.52)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.24% (0.226 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.17% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
5-0 @ 2% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 67.69%
1-1 @ 8.88% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.79%
0-1 @ 4.03% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 3.86% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13.52%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Spezia

Atalanta BC
86.8%
Draw
8.8%
Spezia
4.4%
68
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2023 2pm
Round of 16
Atalanta
5-2
Spezia
Lookman (10', 12'), Hateboer (26'), Hojlund (72'), Ampadu (90' og.)
Ederson (5')
Ekdal (14'), Verde (38')
Hristov (66'), Ampadu (88')
Jan 4, 2023 1.30pm
gameweek 16
Spezia
2-2
Atalanta
Gyasi (8'), N'Zola (31')
Hojlund (77'), Pasalic (90+2')
Lookman (45+7')
May 8, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 36
Spezia
1-3
Atalanta
Verde (30')
Bastoni (41'), Maggiore (44')
Muriel (16'), Djimsiti (73'), Pasalic (87')
Malinovskyi (53'), Freuler (57'), Muriel (62')
Nov 20, 2021 2pm
gameweek 13
Atalanta
5-2
Spezia
Pasalic (18', 41'), Zapata (38' pen.), Muriel (83'), Malinovskyi (89')
Koopmeiners (10'), Pasalic (71')
N'Zola (11', 90+1')
Gyasi (5'), Sala (36'), Hristov (49')
Mar 12, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 27
Atalanta
3-1
Spezia
Pasalic (54', 73'), Muriel (55')
Toloi (8'), de Roon (25')
Piccoli (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!