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Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A
Jun 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Hellas Verona logo

Spezia
1 - 3
Hellas Verona

Ampadu (15')
Reca (71'), Esposito (77')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Faraoni (5'), Ngonge (26', 38')
Hien (14'), Depaoli (28'), Dawidowicz (31'), Montipo (66'), Ngonge (70')
Faraoni (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A relegation playoff between Spezia and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-1 Spezia
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Hellas Verona (Spezia win on penalties)

Only once has a Serie A relegation playoff been decided by a penalty shootout - in 1995, Genoa were demoted on spot-kicks - and in the event of a tie at the end of 90 minutes this Sunday, the game would go straight to penalties without extra time. Neither team has been sharp enough in the final third this season, so after a low-scoring draw in Sassuolo it could ultimately come down to who holds their nerve from 12 yards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
39.69%28.39%31.92%
Both teams to score 46.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93%60.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71%80.29%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47%29.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45%65.55%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.45%34.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.73%71.27%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 39.69%
    Hellas Verona 31.92%
    Draw 28.38%
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 12.44%
2-1 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 7.59%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 39.69%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 10.84%
1-2 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Spezia vs Hellas Verona

Spezia
40.7%
Draw
27.8%
Hellas Verona
31.5%
108
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 11.30am
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
gameweek 15
Hellas Verona
1-2
Spezia
Verdi (30')
N'Zola (53', 69')
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 20
Spezia
1-2
Hellas Verona
Erlic (85')
Verde (75'), Agudelo (78'), Zoet (87')
Agudelo (87')
Caprari (59', 70')
Veloso (29'), Casale (45')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
gameweek 7
Hellas Verona
4-0
Spezia
Simeone (4'), Faraoni (15'), Caprari (42'), Bessa (71')
Caprari (28')

Ferrer (40')
Bastoni (82')
May 1, 2021 2pm
gameweek 34
Hellas Verona
1-1
Spezia
Salcedo (46')
Zaccagni (15'), Dawidowicz (38'), Sturaro (40'), Ilic (69'), Tameze (71'), Faraoni (84')
Saponara (86')
N'Zola (13'), Chabot (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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