Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
We said: Cremonese 2-1 Spezia
Having demonstrated the more convincing form of these two strugglers, Cremonese can build on their near-miss in Milan and keep their fight for survival alive. Victory would take them within four points of their ailing visitors; setting up an almighty scrap in the final four rounds.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.77% . A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.24%) . The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
Result Cremonese Draw Spezia 42.77% ( 0.53) 25.54% ( -0.03) 31.69% ( -0.5)
Both teams to score 54.69% ( -0.11)
50.89% ( -0.05) 49.11% ( 0.05)
28.82% ( -0.05) 71.18% ( 0.05)
77.14% ( 0.23) 22.86% ( -0.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.41% ( 0.34) 56.59% ( -0.34)
70.9% ( -0.36) 29.1% ( 0.36)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.98% ( -0.45) 65.02% ( 0.45)
Cremonese 42.77%
Spezia 31.69%
Draw 25.53%
Cremonese Draw Spezia 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.77% 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.69%
How you voted: Cremonese vs Spezia
58
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 10:25:05
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