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Serie A
Cremonese
Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Spezia Calcio logo

Cremonese
2 - 0
Spezia

Ciofani (41'), Vasquez (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Agudelo (76'), Ampadu (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Cremonese
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Spezia
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Cremonese 2-1 Spezia

 Having demonstrated the more convincing form of these two strugglers, Cremonese can build on their near-miss in Milan and keep their fight for survival alive. Victory would take them within four points of their ailing visitors; setting up an almighty scrap in the final four rounds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawSpezia
42.77% (0.534 0.53) 25.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 31.69% (-0.505 -0.5)
Both teams to score 54.69% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)49.11% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)71.18% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (0.235 0.23)22.86% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (0.344 0.34)56.59% (-0.343 -0.34)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.358 -0.36)29.1% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-0.447 -0.45)65.02% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 42.77%
    Spezia 31.69%
    Draw 25.53%
CremoneseDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.24% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.063999999999998 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.69%

How you voted: Cremonese vs Spezia

Cremonese
69.0%
Draw
22.4%
Spezia
8.6%
58
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
gameweek 10
Spezia
2-2
Cremonese
N'Zola (19'), Holm (22')
Agudelo (61')
Dessers (2'), Pickel (52')
Jul 24, 2020 8pm
gameweek 36
Cremonese
0-0
Spezia

Terranova (68'), Gaetano (77'), Crescenzi (80')
Feb 11, 2020 8pm
gameweek 17
Spezia
3-2
Cremonese
Maggiore (56'), Di Gaudio (72'), N'Zola (84')
Ricci (30'), Capradossi (39')
Claiton (27'), Parigini (87')
Deli (41'), Piccolo (55'), Gustafson (73'), Ravanelli (90')
Feb 2, 2019 5pm
gameweek 22
Spezia
2-0
Cremonese
Bartolomei (21', 53')
Vignali (81')

Arini (40'), Strizzolo (66')
Sep 15, 2018 5pm
gameweek 3
Cremonese
2-0
Spezia
Terranova (16' pen.), Brighenti (21')

Ricci (28'), Terzi (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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