Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Cremonese2 - 0Spezia
We said: Cremonese 2-1 Spezia
Having demonstrated the more convincing form of these two strugglers, Cremonese can build on their near-miss in Milan and keep their fight for survival alive. Victory would take them within four points of their ailing visitors; setting up an almighty scrap in the final four rounds. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Spezia |
42.77% ( 0.53) | 25.54% ( -0.03) | 31.69% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.89% ( -0.05) | 49.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.82% ( -0.05) | 71.18% ( 0.05) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( 0.23) | 22.86% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.41% ( 0.34) | 56.59% ( -0.34) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( -0.36) | 29.1% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.45) | 65.02% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
Cremonese 42.77%
Spezia 31.69%
Draw 25.53%
| Cremonese | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.69% |
How you voted: Cremonese vs Spezia
Cremonese
69.0%Draw
22.4%Spezia
8.6%58
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Jul 24, 2020 8pm
Feb 11, 2020 8pm
gameweek 17
Spezia
3-2
Cremonese
Feb 2, 2019 5pm
Sep 15, 2018 5pm
