Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Lecce
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-0 AC Milan
Saturday, May 13 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 13 at 5pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Lecce 1-0 Spezia
Lecce can celebrate their 600th Serie A fixture by securing a crucial win that could effectively keep them in the top flight. Spezia do not travel well - 11 losses from 17 away games attest to that - and they could be left hoping Verona do not capitalise on another slip-up at Via del Mare. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Spezia |
47.7% ( 0.34) | 26.23% ( -0.05) | 26.07% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.13% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% ( -0) | 54.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% ( -0) | 76.03% ( 0.01) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( 0.15) | 22.94% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.28% ( 0.23) | 56.72% ( -0.22) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.76% ( -0.25) | 36.24% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.98% ( -0.25) | 73.02% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 47.7%
Spezia 26.07%
Draw 26.22%
| Lecce | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.07% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Spezia
Lecce
88.9%Draw
7.4%Spezia
3.7%27
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Dec 16, 2021 5pm
May 11, 2019 2pm
gameweek 38
Lecce
2-1
Spezia
Dec 30, 2018 8pm
gameweek 19
Spezia
1-1
Lecce
