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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Torino logo

Spezia
0 - 4
Torino


Ekdal (11'), N'Zola (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wisniewski (24' og.), Ricci (72'), Ilic (76'), Karamoh (90+6')
Ilic (16'), Singo (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Spezia
Sunday, May 21 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Torino

As Torino are tough to beat when on the road, even taking one point could represent a good result for Spezia - providing Verona fail to get the better of Empoli on Sunday. Neither side scores freely, so a close contest is set to end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawTorino
24.41% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.13% (0.004999999999999 0) 49.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 47.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)55.53% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)76.71% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)38.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.91% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)56.06% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 24.41%
    Torino 49.45%
    Draw 26.12%
SpeziaDrawTorino
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.99%
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.43%
3-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 24.41%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 49.45%

How you voted: Spezia vs Torino

Spezia
50.0%
Draw
20.8%
Torino
29.2%
24
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
gameweek 18
Torino
0-1
Spezia

Djidji (27'), Ricci (75'), Karamoh (90+6')
N'Zola (28' pen.)
Caldara (51'), Bourabia (61'), Nikolaou (90+6')
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 34
Torino
2-1
Spezia
Lukic (4' pen., 69')
Bremer (62')
Manaj (90+7' pen.)
Erlic (3'), Nikolaou (24')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
gameweek 12
Spezia
1-0
Torino
Sala (58')
Amian (65'), Nikolaou (76'), Kovalenko (89')

Rincon (38'), Linetty (52'), Sanabria (76')
May 15, 2021 2pm
gameweek 37
Spezia
4-1
Torino
Saponara (19'), N'Zola (41' pen., 74'), Erlic (84')
Agudelo (28'), Pobega (33'), Farias (80')
Belotti (54' pen.)
Vojvoda (32'), Rincon (57'), Buongiorno (78'), Bremer (83'), Verdi (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 5pm
gameweek 18
Torino
0-0
Spezia

Buongiorno (34'), Lyanco (61'), Linetty (89')

Pobega (17'), Verde (59'), Marchizza (76'), Gyasi (84')
Vignali (8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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