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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Hellas Verona logo

AC Milan
3 - 1
Hellas Verona

Giroud (45+2' pen.), Leao (85', 90+2')
Hernandez (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Faraoni (72')
Magnani (49'), Sulemana (60'), Cabal (62'), Depaoli (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-1 AC Milan
Sunday, May 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 28 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Hellas Verona

 Milan have scored the most goals (21) during the first half-hour of games this season; Verona have conceded more times (10) from the 90th minute onwards than any other side. Drama is surely in store, then, when the two teams meet at San Siro, where defeat for the visitors could send them down depending on how Spezia fare in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 9.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 3-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona
72.5% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 18.07% (0.026 0.03) 9.43% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 40.47% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66% (0.073 0.07)48.35% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (0.065999999999999 0.07)70.49% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.08% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)11.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.72% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)37.28% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.94% (0.18 0.18)54.06% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.69% (0.111 0.11)87.31% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 72.48%
    Hellas Verona 9.43%
    Draw 18.07%
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 14.57% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 13.7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 10.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 72.48%
1-1 @ 8.43% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.76% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 18.07%
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.59% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.22% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 9.43%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Hellas Verona

AC Milan
75.9%
Draw
10.3%
Hellas Verona
13.8%
58
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Hellas Verona
1-2
AC Milan
Gunter (19')
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 8
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
gameweek 26
Hellas Verona
0-2
AC Milan

Magnani (26'), Bessa (90+3')
Krunic (27'), Dalot (50')
Nov 8, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 7
AC Milan
2-2
Hellas Verona
Magnani (27' og.), Ibrahimovic (90+3')
Bennacer (54')
Barak (6'), Calabria (19' og.)
Ceccherini (33'), Lovato (42'), Tameze (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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