Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
We said: Napoli 2-2 Inter Milan
Napoli and Inter have taken more shots, had more touches in the opposition area, and scored more goals (26 vs 30) than any other clubs in Serie A this season. Surely, then, a lifeless stalemate will not play out in front of the Neapolitan faithful: expect entertainment.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.38% . A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.89%) . The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood .
Result Napoli Draw Inter Milan 44.38% ( 0.9) 24.25% ( -0.59) 31.36% ( -0.32)
Both teams to score 58.95% ( 1.89)
56.52% ( 2.54) 43.48% ( -2.55)
34.12% ( 2.45) 65.87% ( -2.46)
80.24% ( 1.45) 19.76% ( -1.45)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.2% ( 2.3) 51.79% ( -2.31)
73.47% ( 1.05) 26.53% ( -1.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.27% ( 1.36) 61.73% ( -1.37)
Napoli 44.38%
Inter Milan 31.36%
Draw 24.24%
Napoli Draw Inter Milan 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.38% 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.61) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24% 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.58) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.36%
How you voted: Napoli vs Inter Milan
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rhs 2.0
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