Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 4, 2023 at 5pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Scamacca (61')
de Roon (26'), Kolasinac (35'), Piero Gasperini (40'), Toloi (85')
Toloi (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Calhanoglu (40' pen.), Martinez (57')
Dumfries (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Atalanta
Monday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Roma
Sunday, October 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atalanta BC 0-1 Inter Milan

No team has kept more clean sheets than either Inter or Atalanta throughout Europe's top five leagues this term - seven each, level with Nice and Juventus - so it could be a cagey affair this weekend. The visitors' fluent front line should help them breach their hosts' tight defence, though, and rack up a ninth win from 11 league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Inter Milan
35.94% ( -0.04)	26.86% ( 0.01)	37.2% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.19% (

-0.03)

53.81% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.72% (

-0.03)

75.28% (

0.03)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

-0.04)

28.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

-0.05)

64.54% (

0.05)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04% (

27.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4% (

63.59% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 35.93%

Inter Milan 37.2%

Draw 26.86%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.93%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.2%