Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Sporting Lisbon1 - 2Atalanta
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, September 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Juventus
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Atalanta BC
The two sides both boast plenty of quality all over the pitch and will be keen to go top of the group with three points on Thursday. We certainly anticipate a tight contest and just give the edge to Ruben Amorim's side on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Atalanta BC |
56.18% ( 0.51) | 23.12% ( -0.18) | 20.7% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( 0.33) | 47.32% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( 0.31) | 69.55% ( -0.31) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( 0.3) | 16.65% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.5% ( 0.53) | 46.5% ( -0.54) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( -0.15) | 37.1% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.11% ( -0.14) | 73.89% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon 56.18%
Atalanta BC 20.7%
Draw 23.12%
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.18% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.7% |
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Atalanta
Sporting Lisbon
64.3%Draw
15.7%Atalanta BC
20.0%115
Form Guide
