Sturm Graz1 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
for
Sunday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Sturm Graz 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sturm have got into the habit of winning, while their draw with Salzburg will have felt like a win given the level of opposition. However, Ilzer's side may be overpowered by the quality in the Sporting side, with the visitors arriving in excellent form. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
25.02% ( -0.09) | 24.21% ( -0.01) | 50.76% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.58% ( -0.03) | 47.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.36% ( -0.03) | 69.63% ( 0.03) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( -0.09) | 33.18% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.22% ( -0.1) | 69.78% ( 0.1) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% ( 0.03) | 18.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.95% ( 0.05) | 50.05% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.02% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.26% Total : 50.76% |
