Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Famalicao

Paulinho (52')
Gyokeres (23'), Coates (45+1'), Morita (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Riccieli (31'), Topic (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, August 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Moreirense
Monday, August 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Famalicao

Sporting have shown some defensive fragility in their opening two games, which is why we believe that Famalicao will trouble the scorers on Sunday. However, the Lions have also showcased the attacking talent that they possess in their two victories over Vizela and Casa Pia, and we think they will have enough firepower to claim all three points against Famalicao. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Famalicao
65.22% ( 0.22)	20.36% ( -0.09)	14.43% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 48.82% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

0.16)

45.78% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.9% (

0.15)

68.1% (

-0.15)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.76% (

0.11)

13.24% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.99% (

0.23)

40.01% (

-0.23)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.28% (

-0.08)

43.72% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.1% (

-0.07)

79.9% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 65.21%

Famalicao 14.43%

Draw 20.36%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Famalicao
2-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 65.21%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.36%	0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.43%