Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga1 - 2Famalicao
We said: Braga 3-1 Famalicao
Famalicao head into Friday's curtain-raiser knowing that they have their work cut out as they face a high-flying Braga side whose last home defeat came in February. Os Arcebispos are currently firing on all cylinders and we are backing them to ease to an opening-day victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
65% ( 0.11) | 20.57% ( -0.19) | 14.44% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.34% ( 0.95) | 46.66% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( 0.88) | 68.93% ( -0.88) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.42% ( 0.33) | 13.58% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.31% ( 0.66) | 40.69% ( -0.65) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.75% ( 0.69) | 44.25% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.67% ( 0.56) | 80.33% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 64.98%
Famalicao 14.44%
Draw 20.57%
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.71% Total : 64.98% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.44% |
How you voted: Braga vs Famalicao
Braga
89.2%Draw
8.1%Famalicao
2.7%37
