Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
65% ( 0.11) | 20.57% ( -0.19) | 14.44% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.34% ( 0.95) | 46.66% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.08% ( 0.88) | 68.93% ( -0.88) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.42% ( 0.33) | 13.58% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.31% ( 0.66) | 40.69% ( -0.65) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.75% ( 0.69) | 44.25% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.67% ( 0.56) | 80.33% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 64.98% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |