Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Restelo
CF Os Belenenses3 - 2Famalicao
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between CF Os Belenenses and Famalicao.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Famalicao
Friday, May 26 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, May 26 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 73.2%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for CF Os Belenenses had a probability of 10.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.67%) and 0-3 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a CF Os Belenenses win it was 1-0 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
CF Os Belenenses | Draw | Famalicao |
10.08% ( -0.46) | 16.71% ( -0.49) | 73.2% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 47.45% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.65% ( 0.91) | 40.34% ( -0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.27% ( 0.93) | 62.72% ( -0.94) |
CF Os Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.48% ( -0.28) | 47.51% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.12% ( -0.21) | 82.87% ( 0.2) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.41% ( 0.46) | 9.58% ( -0.47) |