Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon2 - 1Maritimo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 2-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Maritimo
Sporting Lisbon are in a fine run of form in their pursuit of third spot, while the visitors are lacking any momentum at the bottom end of the division, and we envisage a relatively dominant home victory as a result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.99%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 5.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.06%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.5%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Maritimo |
82.99% ( -0.01) | 11.58% ( 0.01) | 5.44% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 43.24% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
