Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 13, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Maritimo

Costa (85' og.), Coates (90+3')
Ugarte (28'), Diomande (51'), Goncalves (90+4'), Adan (90+4'), Fatawu (90+4')
Adan (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Costa (10')
Vidigal (40'), Carne (72'), Winck (90+9'), Junior (90+11'), Riascos (90+4'), Correia (90'), Paulinho (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 2-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Maritimo

Sporting Lisbon are in a fine run of form in their pursuit of third spot, while the visitors are lacking any momentum at the bottom end of the division, and we envisage a relatively dominant home victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.99%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 5.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.06%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.5%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Maritimo
82.99% ( -0.01)	11.58% ( 0.01)	5.44% ( 0)

Both teams to score 43.24% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.13% (

-0.02)

32.87% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.43% (

-0.02)

54.57% (

0.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.18% (

-0)

5.82% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.62% (

-0.01)

22.38% (

0.01)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.91% (

-0.01)

54.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.67% (

-0)

87.33% (

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 82.98%

Maritimo 5.44%

Draw 11.58%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Maritimo
2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 12.06% 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 8.58% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.27% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.88% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 7-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 82.98%	1-1 @ 5.5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.4% Other @ 0.52% Total : 11.58%	0-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 5.44%