Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
FT (HT: 0-0)
de Brito Gonzaga (20'),
Marcelo (49')
de Brito Gonzaga (88')
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Moreirense
With in-form attackers in the side and the team still unbeaten this season, Amorim will expect his side to comfortably get the better of Moreirense here.
The visitors gave Braga a huge scare last week, but their inability to hold out for even a draw points towards another defeat here.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.33% . A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.43% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.84%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%) , while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.69%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result Sporting Lisbon Draw Moreirense 60.33% ( -2.5) 22.24% ( 0.79) 17.43% ( 1.71)
Both teams to score 49.59% ( 1.1)
51.73% ( -0.4) 48.26% ( 0.4)
29.59% ( -0.37) 70.41% ( 0.36)
84.43% ( -0.94) 15.57% ( 0.94)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.48% ( -1.78) 44.52% ( 1.78)
58.73% ( 1.93) 41.27% ( -1.94)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.2% ( 1.67) 77.79% ( -1.67)
Sporting Lisbon 60.32%
Moreirense 17.43%
Draw 22.23%
Sporting Lisbon Draw Moreirense 1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.59) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.32% 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.23% 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.43%
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense
Sporting Lisbon
Draw
Moreirense
27
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-21 06:00:57
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