Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
21.76% ( -0.25) | 23.46% ( -0.35) | 54.78% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 52.86% ( 0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.5% ( 1.17) | 47.49% ( -1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.29% ( 1.07) | 69.7% ( -1.07) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.85% ( 0.41) | 36.15% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.06% ( 0.42) | 72.93% ( -0.42) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% ( 0.65) | 17.21% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.49% ( 1.13) | 47.5% ( -1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.76% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 5.65% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.78% Total : 54.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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