Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
57.14% ( -0.28)	22.6% ( 0.16)	20.26% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 53.42% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33% (

-0.54)

45.67% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01% (

-0.52)

67.99% (

0.52)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.26% (

-0.28)

15.74% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.15% (

-0.52)

44.85% (

0.52)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.4% (

-0.19)

36.6% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.61% (

-0.19)

73.39% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57.14%

Jubilo Iwata 20.26%

Draw 22.59%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 57.14%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.59%	0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.26%