Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
61.73% ( -1.46)	23.24% ( 0.68)	15.03% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 41.92% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.07% (

-1.16)

55.92% (

1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.97% (

-0.95)

77.02% (

0.95)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

-0.93)

17.78% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.51% (

-1.63)

48.48% (

1.62)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.98% (

0.43)

49.02% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.03% (

0.31)

83.96% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 61.72%

Jubilo Iwata 15.03%

Draw 23.24%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.03% Total : 61.72%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.49% Total : 23.24%	0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.03%